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Politics predictions

From elections to policy, call it early. Browse public politics pots, make your prediction with free points, and back it up.

Politics predictions pots

Politics
1d left

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes60%No40%
$349Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes40%No60%
$317Kvia Polymarket
Politics
13d left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by next Thursday?

Yes10%No90%
$209Kvia Polymarket
Politics
7d left

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes1%No99%
$112Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes62%No38%
$101Kvia Polymarket
Politics
10h left

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to today?

Yes6%No94%
$100Kvia Polymarket
Politics
10h left

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to today?

Yes<1%No>99%
$89Kvia Polymarket
Politics
10h left

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to today?

Yes32%No68%
$87Kvia Polymarket
Politics
10h left

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to today?

Yes64%No36%
$86Kvia Polymarket
Politics
5d left

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?

Yes91%No9%
$70Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Yes3%No97%
$69Kvia Polymarket
Politics
10d left

Will Russia target Kyiv next Monday?

Yes86%No14%
$63Kvia Polymarket
Politics
10d left

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?

Yes51%No49%
$62Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Russia target Kyiv this Sunday?

Yes96%No4%
$58Kvia Polymarket
Politics
4d left

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?

Yes37%No63%
$54Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes24%No76%
$47Kvia Polymarket
Politics
13d left

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?

Yes34%No66%
$46Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Yes28%No72%
$46Kvia Polymarket
Politics
25d left

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes33%No67%
$44Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes75%No25%
$43Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Yes73%No27%
$42Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes29%No71%
$31Kvia Polymarket
Politics
23d left

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes16%No84%
$27Kvia Polymarket
Politics
25d left

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes18%No82%
$23Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

Yes85%No15%
$21Kvia Polymarket
Politics
23d left

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Yes70%No30%
$19Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?

Yes1%No99%
$19Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes89%No11%
$18Kvia Polymarket
Politics
13d left

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

Yes79%No21%
$18Kvia Polymarket
Politics
25d left

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes45%No55%
$12Kvia Polymarket
Politics
13d left

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by next Thursday?

Yes28%No72%
$11Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

Yes79%No21%
$11Kvia Polymarket
Politics
25d left

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes47%No53%
$11Kvia Polymarket
Politics
25d left

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes54%No46%
$10Kvia Polymarket
Politics
13d left

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by next Thursday?

Yes23%No77%
$7Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Yes70%No30%
$7Kvia Polymarket
Politics
23d left

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Yes65%No35%
$6Kvia Polymarket
Politics
23d left

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes82%No18%
$5Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by this Monday?

Yes1%No99%
$4Kvia Polymarket
Politics
22d left

Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Yes51%No49%
$4Kvia Polymarket
Politics
4d left

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 29 to this Tuesday?

Yes<1%No>99%
$3Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Yes96%No4%
$2Kvia Polymarket
Politics
2d left

Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Yes1%No99%
$40via Polymarket
Politics
23d left

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Yes35%No65%
$30via Polymarket