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Politics predictions

From elections to policy, call it early. Browse public politics pots, make your prediction with free points, and back it up.

Politics predictions pots

Politics
11h left

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by today?

Yes3%No97%
$763Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes26%No74%
$349Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Yes97%No3%
$177Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Trump out as President by July 31?

Yes<1%No>99%
$103Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by today?

Yes1%No99%
$58Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes96%No4%
$49Kvia Polymarket
Politics
10d left

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Yes58%No42%
$48Kvia Polymarket
Politics
14d left

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Yes45%No55%
$45Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3h left

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to today?

Yes48%No52%
$44Kvia Polymarket
Politics
14d left

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

Yes12%No88%
$34Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes<1%No>99%
$33Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Yes83%No17%
$27Kvia Polymarket
Politics
15d left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by Aug 15?

Yes24%No76%
$27Kvia Polymarket
Politics
15d left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Yes76%No24%
$27Kvia Polymarket
Politics
9d left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?

Yes84%No16%
$25Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by today?

Yes<1%No>99%
1100 pts pot
$23Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes4%No96%
$23Kvia Polymarket
Politics
15d left

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes6%No94%
$21Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by today?

Yes1%No99%
$20Kvia Polymarket
Politics
7h left

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Yes<1%No>99%
1100 pts pot
$19Kvia Polymarket
Politics
7d left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by next Friday?

Yes10%No90%
$17Kvia Polymarket
Politics
15d left

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by Aug 15?

Yes21%No79%
$13Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?

Yes26%No74%
$13Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Yes37%No63%
$12Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?

Yes71%No29%
$10Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

Yes2%No98%
$10Kvia Polymarket
Politics
4d left

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to this Tuesday?

Yes14%No86%
$10Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by today?

Yes<1%No>99%
$10Kvia Polymarket
Politics
1d left

Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?

Yes30%No70%
$9Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?

Yes78%No22%
$9Kvia Polymarket
Politics
15h left

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Yes41%No59%
$8Kvia Polymarket
Politics
17d left

Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

Yes52%No48%
$8Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes<1%No>99%
$8Kvia Polymarket
Politics
20d left

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes51%No49%
$7Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

Yes50%No50%
$6Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Yes65%No35%
$6Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by today?

Yes6%No94%
$5Kvia Polymarket
Politics
17d left

Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

Yes42%No58%
$5Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?

Yes<1%No>99%
$5Kvia Polymarket
Politics
4d left

Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?

Yes59%No41%
$5Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

Yes<1%No>99%
$4Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by today?

Yes1%No99%
$2Kvia Polymarket
Politics
18d left

Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Yes54%No46%
$2Kvia Polymarket
Politics
13d left

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Yes79%No21%
$2Kvia Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by today?

Yes<1%No>99%
$2Kvia Polymarket
Politics
3d left

Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Yes94%No6%
$1Kvia Polymarket
Politics
12d left

Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

Yes89%No11%
$741via Polymarket
Politics
10d left

Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Yes6%No94%
$652via Polymarket
Politics
11h left

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Yes99%No1%
$313via Polymarket